_FUTURE SCENARIOS

Brisbane City_ urban contextual scenario




Group 11 | Urban_future scenario





 

_Individual Project One Statement

Predicted outcomes_ future scenario | Week 6

Through the course of development in project one, a significant process of architectural fiction arose. Although fairly brief in the final submission, the aligned posters highlight a continuity of current fragmented ideologies of social & cultural constructs, environmental issues, and the manifestation of a variable economy.

Present_ prologue

In response to SEQ’s population boom and increased population density, as well as the rapid deleption of fossil fuels, the G20 Summit has imposed a gradual process that will limit private vehicle usage within Brisbane CBD.

Present_evidence

Evidence is presented on the posters within the second fragment (poster 2) through the expression of diagramatic analysis and map making.

SEQ's population has been projected to grow to more than double its current figure by 2040. With this, population density will grow exponentially, following a similar path to that of New York. Our natural resources, fossil fuels in particular, are depleting at an alarming rate. What remains of oil will only last us another 40 years, natural gas runs out in 60 years and coal in a mere 140 years.

2020_Chaotic scenario

Imagery of chaotic scenarios featured within third fragment (poster 2) through concurrent scenarios - slums, traffic & human congestion, human waste & pollution.

This severe over-population and density will have adverse effects. As living density increases, infrastructure may struggle to keep up, leading to the assimilation of slums. Dense population that depends on a central business district creates an overload in traffic conditions. With transport yet relying on fossil fuels, and increased traffic conditions, we may be looking at turning Brisbane from one of the cleanest cities in the world to one of the most polluted.

2040_Architectural possibilites

Future rendered imagery featured within the third and fourth fragments (poster 3 & 4) through a composition of current solutions and architectural possibilities.

A new and revised public transportation system utilises new forms of technology and links major city centres across Brisbane. This allows for an increase in quality infrastructure that meets the demand of the growing population. With the significant decrease in privately used vehicles city streets are no longer congested, and provides a cleaner and more efficient CBD. The technology in private vehicles as a result changes, with the now dormant vehicles being sort after for materials that could be recycled into the infrastructure.

| The Valdrade proposition to Manhattan is a cohesion of three facets, density, sustainability and diversity. It understands the city as an ecosystem, creating an 'upper city' that would feed to the parasitic 'lower city'.

| The Rapid Re(f)use project by Terreform ONE proposes a scheme that allows for unused waste to be recycled and reconstituted into an expansion on the existing built environment; significantly, an idea to be implemented globally.

| Armenia Skyscraper features an assemblage of structural geodesics (shapes) forming a transition between vertical and horizontal planes, into transformed habitable areas, transportation, and commercial and recreational areas.

_Fiction Urbaine

/ Design Charette Compositions

Significance of layout composition

Fragmented Future - ideology of timelines

Layout exhibits a realisation of a blurred future scenarios. The following represents the processes of the aligned posters and the requirements for expression of a future scenario.






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draft_01






Linear composition



_Week 5 Architectural Possibilities

_Design Charette .iV

Draft composition: identifying the group’s central ideas and translating into a simplistic layout. Content was finalised to represent a continuity of the brief’s proposition – future scenarios, sustainability, people & lifestyles and architectural possibilities. These ideologies of our scenario interpret a fundamental transition of architectural design ideas into a possible outcome.

This design layout was fairly primitive layout and in communicating design ideologies and future scenarios. The timeline will allow the group to show a concurrent path of thinking and depiction of the future scenario.



draft composition



_ V reflectere

_Architectural Possibilities

Nonconforming architectural philosophies

Initial philosophies of architecture were not meant to adapted, changed, even distorted. The reading Erasing Architecture into the System highlights philosophies of architecture that were to consistently serve their original function.

Cedric Price, suspended auditoria



Current architectural functions and values are perpetual, inconsistent in time, space and form. They are not to be delimited by their innovation but a progression of modern design ideas and adapted to current socio-economical, technological and architectural conditions.

_Week 4 People & Lifestyles

_Design Charette .iii

Define fictional | Define factorial

Characters, scenes, sets: creating human embodiment within the constructs of current implementations, future improvisational scenes, and developing a composition for desirable future settings.

Envisioning dramatic scenes & sets: Brisbane CBD would pose a space of technology incline, consciousness of utilising green space, alternative planes, layered infrastructure and the disconnection of transportation.

They inspire visualisations of such characters, occupants, humans, that can be affected by the distinguished scenarios. They propose questions of who they are, what they do, how they live their lives, why they live their lives the way they do. Many queries can be correlated to the following proposed scenarios, and also show the interconnection of the depicted future scenarios. 

Future Citizens



| Future citizens in these scenarios may be isolated to certain stereotypical categories. These could feature homelessness, a lonely or even a single person limited to their stereotype if not in a couple. The ‘working’ class to the government funded ‘lower’ class by hierarchy. Family-oriented people or groups, to the entity of a community, or a socialite within a collective.

Future Setting

| Future settings may be featured in a dynamism of religious ideologies, a digital space, the atmospheric setting, or undergound.

 



Future Scene

Layered infrastructure

Draft poster layout

Current group scenario:

In response to South East Queensland's population boom and increased population density, and the rapid depletion of fossil fuels, the G20 Summit has imposted a gradual process that will limit private vehicle usage in Brisbane CBD.

_ IV reflectere

_People and lifestyles

Interchangeable Architecture

Architecture may be exposed as a mere object of historical significance, depicted by patterns of life, their usages and fluid change. Politics and the Situationalist International delivers a repertoire of concerns that architecture stems from only visual art but in fact dictate our past, present and future. It is obvious with these concerns that architecture is primarily seen as a vessel for social usages, rather than its understanding of people. It can be interesting too that the way we use spaces, move, transform and can become practically inert, suggest patterns of life; even a multi-dimensional perspective.

The next reading Architectural Weaponry BLDGBLOG was highly significant because it challenged traditional vernaculars within architecture to develop a concept of agitation.

'Architects are builders who theorize – articulate builders'

To suggest a mode of philosophical thinking, rather than producing an architectural reality; this is what can be imperative within architectural future scenarios. Producing an idea, a concept of architectural veracity. And to depict human interactions, human-to-human interactions, human-to-built form interactions.

The following link highlights the significance of change and influential behaviours:

Connectivity and Behaviour Changes -
http://abaldaia.wordpress.com/2010/03/31/connectivity-and-behavior-changes-2/


Hylozoic Ground - Philip Beesley

Creating a responsive architecture that simulates life. The boundaries between environment and organism illustrated in architecture.

_Week 3 Sustainable Future

_Design Charette .II

Formation of groups for project 01, Future Scenarios

Signifying key elements of Project 01

FUTURE SCENARIO

-          Future visions & scenarios

-          Sustainable Future

ARCHITECTURAL OPPORTUNITIES

-          People & Lifestyles

-          Architectural Possibility

Radical Nature - Sustainable Architecture

_III reflectere

_Sustainable future

Enhancing Shelf Life 

Who knew that a notion of building layers can be simplified into a life time of stratum? The context of Shearing Layers proposes a ‘shelf life’ of buildings where its containments are exemplified into a category of layers; set, scenery, services and its shell. The realisation of making architecture adaptable over its life time is clearly becoming an aspect of future design and ultimately the comprehension of sustainability. Basically extending the ‘shelf life’ of architecture and architectural theories.

_Week 2 Social and Cultural Contexts

_Design Charette ii

URBAN | REGIONAL | SUBURBAN | VIRTUAL_ architectural hypothesis

The ideologies of future scenarios suggest a deepened conquest for ‘tackling’ the problematic outcomes that may be pending or will see a far nearer future within the urban and architectural world. Nonetheless, these scenarios can ultimately affect all facets of social and cultural community, possible implications of technological advances, or simply evoke ideas of natural disasters and a scenario of a desolated future.

Investigation of urban, suburban, regional and virtual hypotheses:

The following design charettes signify the investigation and exploration of the before mentioned themes, characterised by collaborative ideas and development in such scenarios.

Rural | Interpretation of self-sufficiency taking form of music sufficiency, engendered by grass roots school. Any finds raised went toward the school, industry scholarships, student performances and tours.



regional_scenario



| Musical self sufficiency interpreted from regional self sufficiency community.  

Suburban |



suburban_scenario



Urban |




urban_scenario





_II reflectere

_Social and cultural contexts

Impacts of sustainable ideologies and The Green Movement

The realisation of the proposed scenarios depicted in this week’s readings, signify a shift in how humans can rely on the land, so to speak, and develop inherent qualities of self-sufficiency and human development.

Sustainable Agriculture
Towards Sustainable Food Systems - The Food System; Hunger and Plenty

Adding Value to Food for Farmers and Local Communities Towards Sustainable Rural Communities - Dying Rural Communities: The Social Costs of Countryside Modernisation

Participation and Partnerships for Community Regeneration Making Support and New Policies for A Living Land

The reliance on locally grown food and natural resources is a clear shift from communities that currently live off the land within their regions. It almost denotes qualities of primitivism, in which these ideas are propelled into current contexts. The initiative of self-sufficient communities produces a contrast in their actual value; an escape to the countryside would appear as frivolous but a self-sufficient community is far from an escape to nature-like living. The consumption of modern technology is where the world progresses towards today and a so called self-sufficient community wouldn’t necessarily be autonomous because of its dependence on technological advancement. A contrast of urban and rural living is clearly illustrated where location is the solution to these dependencies, and the comparisons of high and low density living subdues a change for lessened dependency on technology and more dependency on the community.



Tsunami Warnings, Written In Stone
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/21/world/asia/21stones.html?_r=1



_Future visions and scenarios

_week .I

Envisaging the scenarios of architectural futures: post apocalyptic futures

These scenes denote a firm grasp of our possible future, the realisation of socio-cultural chaos, the destruction of architectural ideologies.